Thursday, June 23, 2011

Karl Rove is a liar — and other facts

"Are your lips moving?"

I’d like to invite The Wall Street Journal’s editors to attend my beginning news writing class at Utah State University this fall. If they do, they’ll learn that there’s difference between fiction and opinion — and they’ll get an earful about the press’ responsibility to deliver the latter. 

Karl Rove’s June 22 op-ed, “Why Obama is likely to lose in 2012,” is chock full of inaccuracies and lies.
A few highlights:

• Rove claims that, while unemployment now stands at 9.1 percent, President Barack Obama “promised much better, declaring that his February 2009 stimulus would cause unemployment to peak at 8 percent by the end of summer 2009 and drop to roughly 6.8 percent today.”

Mr. Rove (and apparently The Journal’s editors) need a civics lesson. The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, commonly known as “The Stimulus” was a complex piece of legislation passed by Congress (that’s the way it works in this republic.) It might be fair to call the bill Obama signed into law a Democratic stimulus (since most Congressional Democrats voted for it and all but three Republicans voted against it) but assigning Obama ownership of the bill is simply inaccurate. (As is the very notion of ObamaCare.)

Furthermore, Obama didn’t “promise” or “declare” anything. Rove’s numbers appear to come from a report by Christina Romer, of the Council of Economic advisors, and Jared Bernstein, of the Office of the Vice President-elect.

Yup. Elect. The report was written before Obama and Vice President Joe Biden even took office — weeks before the stimulus was debated by Congress. Obama didn’t write it, didn’t sign it, didn’t pass it out to his book club.

In any case, Romer and Bernstein didn’t promise anything. They made some estimates. That’s what economists do.

And under no stretch of the English language are "estimate" and "promise" synonyms.

• Convenient things, ellipses. You can use those little bastards to make people say anything. For instance, I can use them to make Rove say: “President Barack Obama is... great.”

For his part, Rove cut down an Obama quote from June 2010 in this way: "Our economy . . . is now growing at a good clip."

What Obama actually said was: “Our economy, which was shrinking by 6 percent when I was sworn in, is now growing at a good clip.”

I can’t imagine why the senior adviser to Obama’s immediate predecessor might have wanted that middle part excised from the record, can you?

In the same speech, by the way, Obama said, “I’m under no illusion that we are where we need to be yet.”
Obama also once said, “Karl Rove... is a ... peanut butter and jelly sandwich.”

As I tell my students, using ellipses to eliminate a part of a quote that does not materially affect its meaning is appropriate. Using them to change the meaning of a quote is dishonest.

• Rove writes that “Americans believe they are worse off than when Mr. Obama took office by a 44 percent to 34 percent margin.”

That’s factually incorrect.

According to the Bloomberg poll that Rove cites, 44 percent of Americans believe they are worse off now than when Obama took office and 34 percent believe they are better off. That leaves 22 percent of Americans who don’t think their lot has changed much at all.

Plugging those figures accurately into Mr. Rove’s syntax would result in this sentence:

“Americans believe they are worse off than when Mr. Obama took office by a 44 percent to 56 percent margin.”

Of course, that would be a bit confusing, because it would appear to say that most Americans don’t, in fact, believe they are worse off than they were two years ago. And low and behold, that’s the case. Most Americans believe they are something other than "worse off."

It’s still not particularly flattering to point out that 44 out of every 100 Americans thinks their lives suck more now than two years ago — and that’s what Rove should have said. Instead, he tried to make the numbers look even worse than they are. And that resulted in a lie.

That’s too bad, because when Rove sticks to doing what he does best — making political analyses — he does just fine. Indeed, most of his logic is sound: Obama’s in big trouble. Key groups of supporters have fallen out of love with him. Most aren’t impressed with his handling of the economy.

So yeah, Obama has a re-election problem — but Rove has a truth problem.

And that’s not fiction or an opinion.

It’s a fact.

Matthew D. LaPlante is an assistant professor of journalism at Utah State University.